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Hot and Cold Pokie Strategy

Since the beginning of time pokie players have been looking for ways to win at the pokies, trying to find mathematical patterns, technical glitches and even tell-tale signs of a big win on the horizon. This has led to an abundance of theories and strategies to either shift the house edge into the players favour or trigger the jackpot.

One such strategy which is almost as old as the Liberty Bell herself, is based on the theory that pokies run hot or cold.

What defines a hot or a cold pokie?

Put very simply, a hot pokie is a pokie that is paying out frequently and a cold pokie is running into a serious of non-winning spins. Some people believe that a hot pokie can be generally hot, this means a higher overall hit frequency, or always paying out frequently, whereas many others argue that each machine goes through cycles of hot and cold.


Based on the theory that a machine is hot or cold, the idea would be to play a couple of low denomination spins to gauge if the pokie is running hot or cold. Making a profit after 20 spins or having 6 or more out of 10 spins result in a win would leave the player to believe that the pokie is on a winning streak.

The idea is based on the fact that the next spin is dependant on the previous spin and that spins work in groups instead of independently.


A winning streak, also called a lucky streak, is a series of wins that are associated with good fortune. A hot machine that is paying out regularly is not considered a lucky machine, as it is believed that these wins are programmed into the machine and form part of the pokie’s payout structure.


Despite there still being a lot of belief that pokies can run hot or cold, this theory has been debunked many times over. According to the way random number generators work, each spin is an independent and random occurrence. The previous spin has no bearing on the next spin and vice versa. It is compared to a flip of the coin. Each flip is completely unrelated to the previous and next and while there can be 10 consecutive flips of heads, this does not mean the coin is warming up, rather, it is a lucky (or unlucky depending on which side you’re on) streak.

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